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Argentino Monte Maíz vs Juventud Antoniana Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Winners Stage · Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 18:45

Argentino Monte Maíz

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDDW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Juventud Antoniana

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.9%0-113.1%0-23.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.7%1-111.8%1-23.4%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.3%2-15.3%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.8%3-11.6%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% 39.2% 2.55 +9.7%

Draw 33.7% 36.4% 2.75 -7.3%

Away win 23.2% 35.7% 2.80 -21.0%

Over 2.5 34.2% 29.4% 3.40 +16.3%

Over 3.5 14.1% 14.3% 7.00 -0.8%

BTTS 42.6% 38.2% 2.62 +11.6%

Home O1.5 30.9% 26.7% 3.75 +15.9%

Away O1.5 15.5% 25.0% 4.00 -22.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 122 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 3.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob42.6%

H 43% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.9%

#2 1–0✓ 20.7%

#3 0–1 13.1%

#4 1–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Argentino Monte Maíz0.9

Juventud Antoniana0.6

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ARGENTINO MONTE MAÍZ · PPG 1.70

JUVENTUD ANTONIANA · PPG 1.30

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 1.47 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Argentino Monte Maíz (H) 43.0%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +9.7%

Draw 33.7%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -7.3%

Juventud Antoniana (A) 23.2%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -21.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Argentino Monte Maíz face Juventud Antoniana in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Argentino Monte Maíz a 43% chance, the draw 34% and Juventud Antoniana 23%, so Argentino Monte Maíz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Argentino Monte Maíz and 0.6 for Juventud Antoniana (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Argentino Monte Maíz are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.30 for Juventud Antoniana. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Argentino Monte Maíz vs Juventud Antoniana Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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