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Costa Brava vs Juventud Unida Univ. Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Losers Stage · Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 18:00

Costa Brava

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWWL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Juventud Unida Univ.

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.9%0-110.4%0-22.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.4%1-110.6%1-22.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.9%2-15.4%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.0%3-11.8%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% 54.6% 1.83 -13.8%

Draw 31.8% 33.3% 3.00 -4.6%

Away win 21.1% 23.8% 4.20 -6.8%

Over 2.5 34.1% 40.0% 2.50 -14.8%

Over 3.5 13.0% 22.2% 4.50 -24.9%

BTTS 36.9% 45.5% 2.20 -18.8%

Home O1.5 30.9% 44.4% 2.25 -30.5%

Away O1.5 13.7% 23.1% 4.33 -24.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 122 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 3.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob36.9%

H 47% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 23.4%

#2 0–0 22.9%

#3 0–1 10.4%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 1–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Costa Brava1.0

Juventud Unida Univ.0.5

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

COSTA BRAVA · PPG 1.70

JUVENTUD UNIDA UNIV. · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Costa Brava (H) 47.1%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -13.8%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -4.6%

Juventud Unida Univ. (A) 21.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -6.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Costa Brava face Juventud Unida Univ. in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Costa Brava a 47% chance, the draw 32% and Juventud Unida Univ. 21%, so Costa Brava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Costa Brava and 0.5 for Juventud Unida Univ. (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Costa Brava are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 0.91 for Juventud Unida Univ.. This match finished 1-2.

Costa Brava vs Juventud Unida Univ. Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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