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IFK Östersund vs Täfteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

IFK Östersund

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWDW

6 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Täfteå

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.9%0-25.6%0-33.6%0-4+2.7%1 1-04.8%1-19.2%1-28.8%1-35.6%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.8%2-17.2%2-26.9%2-34.4%2-4+3.3%3 3-02.0%3-13.8%3-23.6%3-32.3%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.1%4+-22.0%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 43.1% — — —

Over 2.5 64.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 46.7% — — —

Away O1.5 56.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IFK Östersund1.6

Täfteå1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

IFK ÖSTERSUND · PPG 1.75

TÄFTEÅ · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

IFK Östersund (H) 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Täfteå (A) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

IFK Östersund face Täfteå in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IFK Östersund a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Täfteå 43%, so Täfteå are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for IFK Östersund and 1.9 for Täfteå (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IFK Östersund are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.50 for Täfteå. This match finished 6-2.

IFK Östersund vs Täfteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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