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Kubikenborg vs Täfteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Kubikenborg

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Täfteå

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.2% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-16.1%0-25.4%0-33.2%0-4+2.1%1 1-05.5%1-19.7%1-28.6%1-35.1%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.4%2-17.8%2-26.9%2-34.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.3%3-14.1%3-23.7%3-32.2%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.4%4+-22.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% 56.8% 1.76 -37.9%

Draw 22.5% 26.3% 3.80 -8.7%

Away win 42.1% 30.8% 3.25 +36.8%

Over 2.5 64.2% 78.1% 1.28 -17.8%

Over 3.5 42.6% 58.1% 1.72 -26.7%

BTTS 63.3% 77.5% 1.29 -18.3%

Home O1.5 47.2% 65.8% 1.52 -28.3%

Away O1.5 47.7% 51.8% 1.93 -7.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.3%

A 42% / xG 1.6-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kubikenborg1.6

Täfteå1.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KUBIKENBORG · PPG 1.86

TÄFTEÅ · PPG 1.71

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kubikenborg (H) 35.3%

ODDS 1.76 · IMPLIED 56.8% EV -37.9%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -8.7%

Täfteå (A) 42.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +36.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kubikenborg face Täfteå in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kubikenborg a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Täfteå 42%, so Täfteå are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kubikenborg and 1.8 for Täfteå (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kubikenborg are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.71 for Täfteå. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +22.8%.

Kubikenborg vs Täfteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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