Today / Romania - Liga I / Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani
Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani Prediction— Romania - Liga I
Matchday 7 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.5% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 53% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.6%
Form & verdict
FARUL CONSTANTA · PPG 1.90
FC BOTOSANI · PPG 0.80
xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Farul Constanta face FC Botosani in Romania - Liga I on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Farul Constanta a 53% chance, the draw 24% and FC Botosani 24%, so Farul Constanta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Farul Constanta and 1.0 for FC Botosani (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Farul Constanta are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 0.80 for FC Botosani. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +9.5%. This match finished 0-0.