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FC Botosani vs Csikszereda Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Matchday 6 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 15:30

FC Botosani

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLWD

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Csikszereda

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 56.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-14.3%0-21.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.5%1-19.1%1-23.6%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.2%2-19.7%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.6%3-16.8%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.4%4+-15.9%4+-22.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.6% 60.6% 1.65 -6.6%

Draw 21.9% 27.0% 3.70 -11.4%

Away win 21.4% 20.8% 4.80 +1.6%

Over 2.5 53.5% 57.8% 1.73 -7.4%

Over 3.5 33.4% 36.4% 2.75 -8.2%

BTTS 52.7% 57.1% 1.75 -7.8%

Home O1.5 59.6% 57.8% 1.73 +3.1%

Away O1.5 23.4% 26.7% 3.75 -7.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.7%

H 57% / xG 2.1-0.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–0 12.2%

#3 1–0✓ 11.5%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 3–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Botosani2.1

Csikszereda0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FC BOTOSANI · PPG 1.52

CSIKSZEREDA · PPG 0.63

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.32 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Botosani (H) 56.6%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -6.6%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -11.4%

Csikszereda (A) 21.4%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +1.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Botosani face Csikszereda in Romania - Liga I on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Botosani a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Csikszereda 21%, so FC Botosani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for FC Botosani and 0.8 for Csikszereda (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Botosani are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 0.63 for Csikszereda. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +10.2%. This match finished 1-0.

FC Botosani vs Csikszereda Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Match Preview & Prediction

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