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Csikszereda vs CFR 1907 Cluj Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Csikszereda

PPG 1.35 · HOME

LAST 5

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2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

CFR 1907 Cluj

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

LAST 5

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// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-110.7%0-26.5%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.7%1-113.0%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.5%2-17.9%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.6%3-13.2%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 28.2% 3.55 +36.3%

Draw 26.7% 29.4% 3.40 -5.5%

Away win 34.9% 51.5% 1.94 -32.3%

Over 2.5 50.5% 54.1% 1.85 -6.6%

Over 3.5 28.7% 31.3% 3.20 -4.9%

BTTS 52.7% 58.8% 1.70 -10.4%

Home O1.5 32.8% 33.9% 2.95 -3.2%

Away O1.5 36.6% 51.3% 1.95 -28.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 18%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.7%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 1–0 10.7%

#3 0–0 8.8%

#4 0–1 10.7%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Csikszereda1.2

CFR 1907 Cluj1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CSIKSZEREDA · PPG 1.35

CFR 1907 CLUJ · PPG 0.94

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.01, combined xG 2.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Csikszereda (H) 38.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +36.3%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.5%

CFR 1907 Cluj (A) 34.9%

ODDS 1.94 · IMPLIED 51.5% EV -32.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Csikszereda face CFR 1907 Cluj in Romania - Liga I on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Csikszereda a 38% chance, the draw 27% and CFR 1907 Cluj 35%, so Csikszereda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Csikszereda and 1.2 for CFR 1907 Cluj (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Csikszereda are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 0.94 for CFR 1907 Cluj. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +23.5%. This match finished 2-3.

Csikszereda vs CFR 1907 Cluj Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Match Preview & Prediction

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