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Resovia Rzeszow vs LKS Lodz B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 15:00

Resovia Rzeszow

PPG 1.46 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

LKS Lodz B

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 60.9% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-15.5%0-22.5%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.8%1-110.4%1-24.6%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.1%2-19.9%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.0%3-16.2%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-14.5%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.9% 57.8% 1.73 +5.4%

Draw 22.0% 28.6% 3.50 -23.0%

Away win 17.2% 25.3% 3.95 -32.1%

Over 2.5 52.4% 57.8% 1.73 -9.3%

Over 3.5 30.2% — — —

BTTS 49.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.9%

H 61% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 11.8%

#2 2–0 11.1%

#3 1–1 10.4%

#4 2–1 9.9%

#5 3–0✓ 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Resovia Rzeszow1.9

LKS Lodz B0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RESOVIA RZESZOW · PPG 1.46

LKS LODZ B · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.46) > Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Resovia Rzeszow (H) 60.9%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV +5.4%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -23.0%

LKS Lodz B (A) 17.2%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -32.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Resovia Rzeszow face LKS Lodz B in Poland - II Liga - East on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Resovia Rzeszow a 61% chance, the draw 22% and LKS Lodz B 17%, so Resovia Rzeszow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Resovia Rzeszow and 0.9 for LKS Lodz B (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Resovia Rzeszow are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 0.71 for LKS Lodz B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.4%. This match finished 3-0.

Resovia Rzeszow vs LKS Lodz B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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