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Rudar vs Bilje Prediction— Slovenia - 2. SNL

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00

Rudar

PPG 1.73 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLW ·

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bilje

PPG 1.37 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-16.1%0-23.6%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.2%1-110.9%1-26.4%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.2%2-19.7%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.9%3-15.8%3-23.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.9%4+-22.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 29.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–2 6.4%

#4 2–0 8.2%

#5 1–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rudar1.8

Bilje1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RUDAR · PPG 1.73

BILJE · PPG 1.37

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rudar (H) 47.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bilje (A) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rudar face Bilje in Slovenia - 2. SNL on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rudar a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Bilje 29%, so Rudar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Rudar and 1.2 for Bilje (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rudar are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.37 for Bilje. This match finished 4-1.

Rudar vs Bilje Prediction— Slovenia - 2. SNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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