Today / Slovenia - 2. SNL / Krško vs Tabor Sežana

Krško vs Tabor Sežana Prediction— Slovenia - 2. SNL

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 15:30

Krško

PPG 1.48 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLD ·

0 – 6

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Tabor Sežana

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 46.5% — a clear edge.

+13.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-112.0%0-29.0%0-34.5%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.2%1-112.3%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.2%2-16.3%2-24.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.4%3-12.1%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.9% 9.1% 11.00 +124.1%

Draw 27.1% 21.1% 4.75 +17.2%

Away win 45.0% 80.0% 1.25 -43.8%

Over 2.5 50.1% 58.8% 1.70 -14.8%

Over 3.5 28.2% 37.0% 2.70 -14.3%

BTTS 52.9% 46.5% 2.15 +13.7%

Home O1.5 30.6% 16.7% 6.00 +83.6%

Away O1.5 43.8% 72.5% 1.38 -39.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-6

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.9%

A 45% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–1 12.0%

#3 0–0 8.0%

#4 1–2 9.2%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Krško1.0

Tabor Sežana1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KRŠKO · PPG 1.48

TABOR SEŽANA · PPG 1.77

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.48 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Krško (H) 27.9%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +124.1%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +17.2%

Tabor Sežana (A) 45.0%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -43.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Krško face Tabor Sežana in Slovenia - 2. SNL on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Krško a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Tabor Sežana 45%, so Tabor Sežana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Krško and 1.5 for Tabor Sežana (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Krško are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.77 for Tabor Sežana. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +123.5%. This match finished 0-6.

Krško vs Tabor Sežana Prediction— Slovenia - 2. SNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovenia - 2. SNL Predictions