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Stockport County vs Wycombe Prediction— England - League One

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Stockport County

PPG 1.48 · HOME

LAST 5

WLW ··

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Wycombe

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.3% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-17.3%0-24.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.8%1-111.8%1-26.5%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.5%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.6%3-15.1%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.9%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% 53.5% 1.87 -12.3%

Draw 26.0% 27.8% 3.60 -3.8%

Away win 27.1% 25.6% 3.90 +3.4%

Over 2.5 51.1% 55.6% 1.80 -8.0%

Over 3.5 30.9% 33.3% 3.00 -7.3%

BTTS 53.3% 59.9% 1.67 -11.0%

Home O1.5 48.6% 54.1% 1.85 -10.1%

Away O1.5 33.0% 33.9% 2.95 -2.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -49.2%

Bet Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.3%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 10.8%

#4 2–0 8.7%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stockport County1.6

Wycombe1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

STOCKPORT COUNTY · PPG 1.48

WYCOMBE · PPG 1.10

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Stockport County (H) 46.9%

ODDS 1.87 · IMPLIED 53.5% EV -12.3%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -3.8%

Wycombe (A) 27.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +3.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stockport County face Wycombe in England - League One on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stockport County a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Wycombe 27%, so Stockport County are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Stockport County and 1.1 for Wycombe (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stockport County are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.10 for Wycombe. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +5.2%. This match finished 5-1.

Stockport County vs Wycombe Prediction— England - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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