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Hradec Králové U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:00

Hradec Králové U19

PPG 2.22 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWW ·

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Pardubice U19

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 71.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.5%0-21.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.3%1-16.6%1-24.2%1-31.7%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.0%2-18.8%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.2%3-17.9%3-24.9%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-19.9%4+-26.3%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.3% 69.4% 1.44 -10.3%

Draw 17.5% 23.8% 4.20 -15.9%

Away win 20.1% 20.0% 5.00 +0.3%

Over 2.5 68.2% 71.4% 1.40 -4.5%

Over 3.5 48.2% 55.2% 1.81 -12.8%

BTTS 63.1% 71.4% 1.40 -11.7%

Home O1.5 65.8% 71.9% 1.39 -8.5%

Away O1.5 36.6% 37.9% 2.64 -3.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.1%

H 62% / xG 2.7-1.3 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 1–1 6.6%

#4 2–0✓ 7.0%

#5 3–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hradec Králové U192.7

Pardubice U191.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ U19 · PPG 2.22

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.41 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hradec Králové U19 (H) 62.3%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -10.3%

Draw 17.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -15.9%

Pardubice U19 (A) 20.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +0.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hradec Králové U19 face Pardubice U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hradec Králové U19 a 62% chance, the draw 18% and Pardubice U19 20%, so Hradec Králové U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Hradec Králové U19 and 1.3 for Pardubice U19 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hradec Králové U19 are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 1.38 for Pardubice U19. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +9.9%. This match finished 2-0.

Hradec Králové U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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