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Hradec Králové U19 vs Slavia Praha U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Matchday 1 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 08:00

Hradec Králové U19

PPG 2.09 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWW ·

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Slavia Praha U19

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLD ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.3% vs bookmaker-implied 71.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.2%0-20.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.2%1-14.1%1-22.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.5%2-16.9%2-24.4%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.2%3-17.8%3-24.9%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-012.5%4+-115.7%4+-29.9%4+-34.2%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.6% 66.7% 1.50 +2.9%

Draw 15.8% 23.1% 4.33 -18.9%

Away win 15.7% 22.2% 4.50 -17.6%

Over 2.5 72.0% 76.9% 1.30 -6.4%

Over 3.5 52.0% 57.8% 1.73 -10.0%

BTTS 63.1% 74.1% 1.35 -14.8%

Home O1.5 77.3% 71.9% 1.39 +7.4%

Away O1.5 36.6% 42.0% 2.38 -12.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.1%

H 69% / xG 3.4-1.3 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%

#2 2–1 6.9%

#3 4–1 6.6%

#4 1–1 4.1%

#5 3–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hradec Králové U193.4

Slavia Praha U191.3

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ U19 · PPG 2.09

SLAVIA PRAHA U19 · PPG 0.98

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.13 for Home, form 2.09 vs 0.98 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hradec Králové U19 (H) 68.6%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV +2.9%

Draw 15.8%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -18.9%

Slavia Praha U19 (A) 15.7%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -17.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hradec Králové U19 face Slavia Praha U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hradec Králové U19 a 69% chance, the draw 16% and Slavia Praha U19 16%, so Hradec Králové U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Hradec Králové U19 and 1.3 for Slavia Praha U19 (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hradec Králové U19 are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.98 for Slavia Praha U19. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +7.4%. This match finished 4-0.

Hradec Králové U19 vs Slavia Praha U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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