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Hradec Králové U19 vs Sparta Praha U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:00

Hradec Králové U19

PPG 1.91 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWW ·

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sparta Praha U19

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.8%0-23.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.2%1-18.1%1-26.4%1-33.3%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.0%3-16.3%3-25.0%3-32.6%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-15.7%4+-24.4%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 43.5% 2.30 +3.5%

Draw 21.6% 27.8% 3.60 -13.3%

Away win 33.4% 41.7% 2.40 -19.8%

Over 2.5 63.1% 69.4% 1.44 -9.1%

Over 3.5 43.5% 49.8% 2.01 -12.6%

BTTS 61.3% 73.5% 1.36 -16.6%

Home O1.5 62.9% 56.8% 1.76 +10.7%

Away O1.5 48.5% 55.2% 1.81 -12.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.3%

H 45% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 1–2 6.4%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hradec Králové U192.2

Sparta Praha U191.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ U19 · PPG 1.91

SPARTA PRAHA U19 · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hradec Králové U19 (H) 45.0%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +3.5%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -13.3%

Sparta Praha U19 (A) 33.4%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -19.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hradec Králové U19 face Sparta Praha U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hradec Králové U19 a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Sparta Praha U19 33%, so Hradec Králové U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Hradec Králové U19 and 1.6 for Sparta Praha U19 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hradec Králové U19 are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 1.43 for Sparta Praha U19. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +19.2%. This match finished 5-2.

Hradec Králové U19 vs Sparta Praha U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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