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Baník Ostrava U19 vs Slovácko U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:00

Baník Ostrava U19

PPG 2.09 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWL ·

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Slovácko U19

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.84 for Home, form 2.09 vs 0.94 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-11.8%0-21.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-04.6%1-15.4%1-23.2%1-31.2%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.0%2-18.1%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.0%3-18.1%3-24.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-011.0%4+-112.9%4+-27.5%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.7% 63.7% 1.57 +6.3%

Draw 16.3% 25.0% 4.00 -20.9%

Away win 16.0% 23.8% 4.20 -19.7%

Over 2.5 67.3% 73.5% 1.36 -8.5%

Over 3.5 47.6% 54.9% 1.82 -13.4%

BTTS 61.5% 73.5% 1.36 -16.4%

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 35.6% 43.1% 2.32 -17.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.5%

H 68% / xG 3.0-1.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 8.1%

#3 1–1 5.4%

#4 3–0 7.0%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baník Ostrava U193.0

Slovácko U191.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BANÍK OSTRAVA U19 · PPG 2.09

SLOVÁCKO U19 · PPG 0.94

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.84 for Home, form 2.09 vs 0.94 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Baník Ostrava U19 (H) 67.7%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV +6.3%

Draw 16.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -20.9%

Slovácko U19 (A) 16.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -19.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Baník Ostrava U19 face Slovácko U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baník Ostrava U19 a 68% chance, the draw 16% and Slovácko U19 16%, so Baník Ostrava U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Baník Ostrava U19 and 1.2 for Slovácko U19 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baník Ostrava U19 are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.94 for Slovácko U19. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Baník Ostrava U19 vs Slovácko U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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