Today / Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 / Brno U19 vs H. Kralove U19

Brno U19 vs H. Kralove U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 09:00

Brno U19 logo
Brno U19
PPG 1.92 · HOME
1 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
H. Kralove U19 logo
H. Kralove U19
PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-16.3%0-25.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.9%1-110.0%1-28.5%1-34.8%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.7%2-18.0%2-26.8%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.5%3-14.3%3-23.6%3-32.1%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.5%4+-22.1%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.4% 40.0% 2.50 -11.5%
Draw 22.4% 27.4% 3.65 -10.9%
Away win 42.2% 44.4% 2.25 -5.1%
Over 2.5 64.1% 69.9% 1.43 -8.3%
Over 3.5 39.5% 46.5% 2.15 -15.1%
BTTS 61.0% 69.4% 1.44 -12.2%
Home O1.5 47.6% 53.2% 1.88 -10.5%
Away O1.5 50.7% 54.3% 1.84 -6.7%

League track record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 16.3%
Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-4
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.0%

A 42% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%
#2 1–2 8.5%
#3 2–1 8.0%
#4 2–2 6.8%
#5 0–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brno U191.6
H. Kralove U191.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BRNO U19 · PPG 1.92

H. KRALOVE U19 · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.92), Away GOOD (1.92)

Win probability 1X2

Brno U19 (H) 35.4%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -11.5%
Draw 22.4%
ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -10.9%
H. Kralove U19 (A) 42.2%
ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brno U19 face H. Kralove U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brno U19 a 35% chance, the draw 22% and H. Kralove U19 42%, so H. Kralove U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Brno U19 and 1.7 for H. Kralove U19 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brno U19 are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.92 for H. Kralove U19. This match finished 1-4.

PredictVantage

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