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Slavia P. U19 vs Sparta P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 09:00

Slavia P. U19

PPG 2.07 · HOME

1 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sparta P. U19

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.8% vs bookmaker-implied 78.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.5%0-22.3%0-31.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-03.3%1-16.1%1-25.7%1-33.5%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.1%2-17.5%2-27.0%2-34.3%2-4+3.0%3 3-03.3%3-16.1%3-25.7%3-33.5%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-16.7%4+-26.2%4+-33.9%4+-4+2.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% 45.5% 2.20 +8.2%

Draw 21.1% 25.6% 3.90 -10.6%

Away win 29.7% 40.8% 2.45 -16.3%

Over 2.5 72.8% 78.7% 1.27 -7.5%

Over 3.5 46.8% 60.6% 1.65 -22.8%

BTTS 63.6% 77.5% 1.29 -18.0%

Home O1.5 68.8% 64.9% 1.54 +5.9%

Away O1.5 44.6% 58.1% 1.72 -23.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-6

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.6%

H 49% / xG 2.5-1.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%

#2 1–1 6.1%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 3–1 6.1%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia P. U192.5

Sparta P. U191.9

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.8% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA P. U19 · PPG 2.07

SPARTA P. U19 · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Slavia P. U19 (H) 49.2%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +8.2%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -10.6%

Sparta P. U19 (A) 29.7%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -16.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia P. U19 face Sparta P. U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia P. U19 a 49% chance, the draw 21% and Sparta P. U19 30%, so Slavia P. U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Slavia P. U19 and 1.9 for Sparta P. U19 (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia P. U19 are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.29 for Sparta P. U19. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +22.4%. This match finished 1-6.

Slavia P. U19 vs Sparta P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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