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Mladá Boleslav U19 vs Baník Ostrava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 11:00

Mladá Boleslav U19

PPG 1.87 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLW ·

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Baník Ostrava U19

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.0%0-22.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-06.1%1-18.6%1-26.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.6%2-19.3%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.8%3-16.7%3-24.7%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-16.0%4+-24.2%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.8% 47.6% 2.10 +8.8%

Draw 21.8% 26.7% 3.75 -10.9%

Away win 26.4% 37.0% 2.70 -17.2%

Over 2.5 66.6% 69.4% 1.44 -4.1%

Over 3.5 45.0% 48.3% 2.07 -6.9%

BTTS 63.1% 72.5% 1.38 -12.9%

Home O1.5 63.8% 58.5% 1.71 +9.1%

Away O1.5 40.9% 51.5% 1.94 -20.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.1%

H 52% / xG 2.2-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2 6.0%

#4 3–1 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mladá Boleslav U192.2

Baník Ostrava U191.4

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.6% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MLADÁ BOLESLAV U19 · PPG 1.87

BANÍK OSTRAVA U19 · PPG 1.73

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Mladá Boleslav U19 (H) 51.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +8.8%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -10.9%

Baník Ostrava U19 (A) 26.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -17.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mladá Boleslav U19 face Baník Ostrava U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mladá Boleslav U19 a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Baník Ostrava U19 26%, so Mladá Boleslav U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Mladá Boleslav U19 and 1.4 for Baník Ostrava U19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mladá Boleslav U19 are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.73 for Baník Ostrava U19. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +9.1%. This match finished 4-2.

Mladá Boleslav U19 vs Baník Ostrava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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