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Ostrava U19 vs Budejovice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 11:00

Ostrava U19

PPG 2.29 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Budejovice U19

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 75.4% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.7%0-21.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-02.9%1-15.0%1-24.3%1-32.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.1%2-17.1%2-26.2%2-33.6%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.9%3-16.8%3-25.9%3-33.4%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-110.0%4+-28.7%4+-35.0%4+-4+3.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 57.8% 1.73 -8.3%

Draw 20.2% 24.4% 4.10 -10.3%

Away win 26.8% 29.9% 3.35 -6.1%

Over 2.5 75.4% 83.3% 1.20 -9.5%

Over 3.5 54.4% 64.5% 1.55 -15.7%

BTTS 65.7% 82.0% 1.22 -19.9%

Home O1.5 74.3% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% 55.9% 1.79 -20.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob65.7%

H 53% / xG 2.9-1.7 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.1%

#2 3–1 6.8%

#3 2–2 6.2%

#4 3–2 5.9%

#5 1–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ostrava U192.9

Budejovice U191.7

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.4% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

OSTRAVA U19 · PPG 2.29

BUDEJOVICE U19 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=53.0%

Win probability 1X2

Ostrava U19 (H) 53.0%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -8.3%

Draw 20.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -10.3%

Budejovice U19 (A) 26.8%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ostrava U19 face Budejovice U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ostrava U19 a 53% chance, the draw 20% and Budejovice U19 27%, so Ostrava U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Ostrava U19 and 1.7 for Budejovice U19 (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ostrava U19 are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.00 for Budejovice U19. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +9.8%. This match finished 1-4.

Ostrava U19 vs Budejovice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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