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M. Boleslav U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 08:15

M. Boleslav U19

PPG 1.64 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Pardubice U19

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.6% vs bookmaker-implied 73.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-14.9%0-23.7%0-31.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.2%1-19.4%1-27.1%1-33.6%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.8%3-15.8%3-24.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-14.3%4+-23.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% 54.1% 1.85 -7.7%

Draw 22.6% 27.0% 3.70 -9.8%

Away win 27.5% 30.8% 3.25 -6.4%

Over 2.5 64.6% 73.0% 1.37 -11.5%

Over 3.5 42.9% 52.6% 1.90 -18.5%

BTTS 63.5% 71.4% 1.40 -11.1%

Home O1.5 55.0% 65.4% 1.53 -15.8%

Away O1.5 44.6% 45.7% 2.19 -2.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.5%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

M. Boleslav U191.9

Pardubice U191.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 42.9%

Form & verdict PPG

M. BOLESLAV U19 · PPG 1.64

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

M. Boleslav U19 (H) 49.9%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -7.7%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -9.8%

Pardubice U19 (A) 27.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -6.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

M. Boleslav U19 face Pardubice U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives M. Boleslav U19 a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Pardubice U19 28%, so M. Boleslav U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for M. Boleslav U19 and 1.5 for Pardubice U19 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, M. Boleslav U19 are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.00 for Pardubice U19. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +2.7%. This match finished 3-0.

M. Boleslav U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 Predictions