Today / Poland - I Liga / Odra Opole vs ŁKS Łódź

Odra Opole vs ŁKS Łódź Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Matchday 6 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:45

Odra Opole logo
Odra Opole
PPG 1.51 · HOME
LAST 5
WLWDD
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
ŁKS Łódź logo
ŁKS Łódź
PPG 1.27 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.4% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-19.9%0-26.2%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.2%1-112.7%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.5%2-18.2%2-25.1%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.8%3-13.5%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.5% 32.3% 3.10 +13.2%
Draw 26.6% 31.3% 3.20 -8.9%
Away win 36.9% 46.5% 2.15 -20.7%
Over 2.5 53.5% 48.8% 2.05 +9.7%
Over 3.5 31.5% 27.0% 3.70 +16.6%
BTTS 54.4% 55.6% 1.80 -2.1%
Home O1.5 37.2% 34.7% 2.88 +7.1%
Away O1.5 36.6% 44.4% 2.25 -17.6%

League track record

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 55%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 52%
ROI -10.9%
Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.4%

A 37% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%
#2 0–1 9.9%
#3 1–2 8.0%
#4 0–0 7.9%
#5 1–0 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odra Opole1.3
ŁKS Łódź1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ODRA OPOLE · PPG 1.51

ŁKS ŁÓDŹ · PPG 1.27

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Odra Opole (H) 36.5%
ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +13.2%
Draw 26.6%
ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.9%
ŁKS Łódź (A) 36.9%
ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -20.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odra Opole face ŁKS Łódź in Poland - I Liga on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odra Opole a 37% chance, the draw 27% and ŁKS Łódź 37%, so ŁKS Łódź are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Odra Opole and 1.3 for ŁKS Łódź (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odra Opole are averaging 1.51 points per game versus 1.27 for ŁKS Łódź. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +19.9%. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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