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Ipswich Town U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21 Prediction— England - Premier League 2 Division One

Regular Season ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:00

Ipswich Town U21

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Blackburn Rovers U21

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.2%0-22.9%0-31.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-03.9%1-17.1%1-26.4%1-33.9%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.4%2-17.9%2-27.2%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-03.3%3-15.9%3-25.3%3-33.2%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-15.5%4+-25.0%4+-33.0%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.4% 51.3% 1.95 -17.3%

Draw 21.4% 25.0% 4.00 -8.6%

Away win 36.2% 33.3% 3.00 +8.6%

Over 2.5 65.3% 75.2% 1.33 -13.2%

Over 3.5 45.0% 54.1% 1.85 -16.8%

BTTS 62.5% 76.9% 1.30 -18.8%

Home O1.5 65.8% 66.7% 1.50 -1.3%

Away O1.5 47.9% 52.6% 1.90 -9.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.5%

H 42% / xG 2.2-1.8 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.1%

#2 1–2 6.4%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ipswich Town U212.2

Blackburn Rovers U211.8

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.3% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IPSWICH TOWN U21 · PPG 1.71

BLACKBURN ROVERS U21 · PPG 0.98

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.42 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ipswich Town U21 (H) 42.4%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -17.3%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -8.6%

Blackburn Rovers U21 (A) 36.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +8.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ipswich Town U21 face Blackburn Rovers U21 in England - Premier League 2 Division One on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ipswich Town U21 a 42% chance, the draw 21% and Blackburn Rovers U21 36%, so Ipswich Town U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Ipswich Town U21 and 1.8 for Blackburn Rovers U21 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ipswich Town U21 are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.98 for Blackburn Rovers U21. This match finished 4-1.

Ipswich Town U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21 Prediction— England - Premier League 2 Division One

Match Preview & Prediction

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