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Cuniburo vs Atletico FC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Promotion Group · Matchday 1 ·Thursday, August 27, 2026, 20:30

Cuniburo

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Atletico FC

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-110.0%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.4%1-24.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.2%2-17.6%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.6%3-13.1%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% — — —

Draw 31.5% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 37.5% — — —

Over 3.5 18.0% — — —

BTTS 43.7% — — —

Home O1.5 33.8% — — —

Away O1.5 18.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 61%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 18.2%

#2 0–0 14.8%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cuniburo1.2

Atletico FC0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CUNIBURO · PPG 1.64

ATLETICO FC · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

46%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cuniburo (H) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atletico FC (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cuniburo face Atletico FC in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday, August 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cuniburo a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Atletico FC 23%, so Cuniburo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cuniburo and 0.7 for Atletico FC (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cuniburo are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.27 for Atletico FC. This match finished 1-0.

Cuniburo vs Atletico FC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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