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Gottne vs IFK Östersund Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 17:00

Gottne

PPG 1.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

IFK Östersund

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.7%0-22.8%0-31.9%0-4+1.5%1 1-03.0%1-16.2%1-26.3%1-34.3%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.5%2-17.1%2-27.2%2-34.9%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.6%3-15.4%3-25.5%3-33.7%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-15.2%4+-25.3%4+-33.6%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.6% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 33.8% — — —

Over 2.5 70.6% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob69.4%

H 45% / xG 2.3-2.0 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.2%

#2 1–1 6.2%

#3 2–1 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.3%

#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gottne2.3

IFK Östersund2.0

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.6% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GOTTNE · PPG 1.57

IFK ÖSTERSUND · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gottne (H) 44.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

IFK Östersund (A) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gottne face IFK Östersund in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gottne a 45% chance, the draw 22% and IFK Östersund 34%, so Gottne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Gottne and 2.0 for IFK Östersund (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gottne are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.29 for IFK Östersund.

Gottne vs IFK Östersund Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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