Today / South-Africa - Premier Soccer League / Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch

Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 4 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 17:30

Golden Arrows

PPG 1.54 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDW ·

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Stellenbosch

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-112.4%0-24.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.8%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.4%2-16.7%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.2%3-12.3%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.8% 37.6% 2.66 +11.2%

Draw 31.7% 35.1% 2.85 -9.7%

Away win 26.5% 34.2% 2.92 -13.6%

Over 2.5 36.9% 37.0% 2.70 -0.4%

Over 3.5 18.0% 19.0% 5.25 -3.3%

BTTS 43.7% 48.8% 2.05 -10.4%

Home O1.5 30.9% 33.3% 3.00 -7.3%

Away O1.5 18.2% 30.3% 3.30 -24.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.7%

H 42% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 1–0✓ 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 0–1 12.4%

#5 2–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Golden Arrows1.0

Stellenbosch0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GOLDEN ARROWS · PPG 1.54

STELLENBOSCH · PPG 1.18

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 1.75 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Golden Arrows (H) 41.8%

ODDS 2.66 · IMPLIED 37.6% EV +11.2%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -9.7%

Stellenbosch (A) 26.5%

ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV -13.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Golden Arrows face Stellenbosch in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Golden Arrows a 42% chance, the draw 32% and Stellenbosch 27%, so Golden Arrows are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Golden Arrows and 0.7 for Stellenbosch (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Golden Arrows are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.18 for Stellenbosch. This match finished 1-0.

Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

More South-Africa - Premier Soccer League Predictions