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Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 4 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 17:30

Marumo Gallants

PPG 1.15 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLL ·

2 – 3

FULL TIME

TS Galaxy

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDW ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-112.9%0-26.8%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.8%1-113.5%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.7%2-17.0%2-23.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.3%3-12.4%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 39.7% 2.52 -8.5%

Draw 27.7% 34.5% 2.90 -11.8%

Away win 36.0% 32.8% 3.05 +9.8%

Over 2.5 44.8% 38.5% 2.60 +16.5%

Over 3.5 25.6% 19.0% 5.25 +20.6%

BTTS 49.2% 48.8% 2.05 +0.9%

Home O1.5 30.9% 34.5% 2.90 -10.4%

Away O1.5 32.6% 30.3% 3.30 +7.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.2%

H 36% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 1–0 12.8%

#3 0–1 12.9%

#4 0–0 12.2%

#5 2–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marumo Gallants1.0

TS Galaxy1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MARUMO GALLANTS · PPG 1.15

TS GALAXY · PPG 1.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.02, combined xG 2.10 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Marumo Gallants (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.52 · IMPLIED 39.7% EV -8.5%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.8%

TS Galaxy (A) 36.0%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Marumo Gallants face TS Galaxy in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marumo Gallants a 36% chance, the draw 28% and TS Galaxy 36%, so Marumo Gallants are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Marumo Gallants and 1.1 for TS Galaxy (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marumo Gallants are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 1.00 for TS Galaxy. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.6%. This match finished 2-3.

Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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