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Golden Arrows vs TS Galaxy Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:00

Golden Arrows

PPG 1.79 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

TS Galaxy

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-110.8%0-24.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.9%1-112.9%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.1%2-17.7%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.0%3-13.1%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% 43.9% 2.28 +7.2%

Draw 28.9% 33.3% 3.00 -8.0%

Away win 24.1% 29.9% 3.35 -11.6%

Over 2.5 35.2% 38.5% 2.60 -8.5%

Over 3.5 13.5% 19.0% 5.25 -17.5%

BTTS 48.6% 48.8% 2.05 -0.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -23.2%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 14.1%

#2 1–0 16.9%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 2–0 10.1%

#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Golden Arrows1.2

TS Galaxy0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.2% · O3.5 PROB 13.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GOLDEN ARROWS · PPG 1.79

TS GALAXY · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=47.0%

Win probability 1X2

Golden Arrows (H) 47.0%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV +7.2%

Draw 28.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.0%

TS Galaxy (A) 24.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -11.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Golden Arrows face TS Galaxy in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Golden Arrows a 47% chance, the draw 29% and TS Galaxy 24%, so Golden Arrows are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Golden Arrows and 0.8 for TS Galaxy (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Golden Arrows are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 0.71 for TS Galaxy. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Golden Arrows vs TS Galaxy Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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