Sheffield Utd vs Blackburn Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 44 Bramall Lane· Sheffield Wednesday, April 22, 2026 18:45

Sheffield Utd PPG 1.48

1-3 MISS

Blackburn PPG 1.27

Home· +4.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield Utd face Blackburn in England - Championship on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield Utd a 57% chance, the draw 24% and Blackburn 19%, so Sheffield Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sheffield Utd and 0.8 for Blackburn (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield Utd are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.27 for Blackburn. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.7%

Odds: 1.85 EV: +4.9%

Draw 24.4%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -12.2%

Away 18.9%

Odds: 3.95 EV: -25.3%

Model lean: Home

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.3% Odds: 1.90 -13.9%

Over 3.5 24.0% Odds: 3.25 -22.0%

BTTS 45.8% Odds: 1.77 -18.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sheffield Utd

1.65

Blackburn

0.84

Model SuggestionHome +4.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.48), Away AVERAGE (1.27)