Today / England - Championship / Charlton vs Ipswich Town

Charlton vs Ipswich Town Prediction— England - Championship

Regular Season - 44 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 18:45

Charlton

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Ipswich Town

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-113.5%0-29.6%0-34.6%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.8%1-112.6%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.1%2-15.9%2-24.2%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.3%3-11.8%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.7% 20.4% 4.90 +21.0%

Draw 26.9% 27.4% 3.65 -1.8%

Away win 48.4% 59.2% 1.69 -18.2%

Over 2.5 41.9% 51.3% 1.95 -18.3%

Over 3.5 21.2% 29.0% 3.45 -26.9%

BTTS 46.1% 52.6% 1.90 -12.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -12.7%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob46.1%

A 48% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 13.5%

#2 1–1 12.6%

#3 0–2 9.6%

#4 0–0 9.5%

#5 1–2✓ 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Charlton0.9

Ipswich Town1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.9% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CHARLTON · PPG 1.33

IPSWICH TOWN · PPG 1.45

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.45)

Win probability 1X2

Charlton (H) 24.7%

ODDS 4.90 · IMPLIED 20.4% EV +21.0%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -1.8%

Ipswich Town (A) 48.4%

ODDS 1.69 · IMPLIED 59.2% EV -18.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Charlton face Ipswich Town in England - Championship on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charlton a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Ipswich Town 48%, so Ipswich Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Charlton and 1.4 for Ipswich Town (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charlton are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.45 for Ipswich Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Charlton vs Ipswich Town Prediction— England - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Championship Predictions