Charlton vs Ipswich Town Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 44 The Valley· London Wednesday, April 22, 2026 18:45

Charlton PPG 1.33

1-2 HIT CS5

Ipswich Town PPG 1.45

Home· +21.0% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Charlton face Ipswich Town in England - Championship on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charlton a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Ipswich Town 48%, so Ipswich Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Charlton and 1.4 for Ipswich Town (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charlton are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.45 for Ipswich Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.7%

Odds: 4.90 EV: +21.0%

Draw 26.9%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -1.8%

Away 48.4%

Odds: 1.69 EV: -18.2%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.9% Odds: 1.95 -18.3%

Over 3.5 21.2% Odds: 3.45 -26.9%

BTTS 46.1% Odds: 1.90 -12.4%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlton

0.93

Ipswich Town

1.43

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -1.0%

Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.45)