Today / Romania - Liga I / CFR 1907 Cluj vs FCSB

CFR 1907 Cluj vs FCSB Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 18:30

CFR 1907 Cluj

PPG 1.99 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

FCSB

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-16.4%0-24.5%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.5%1-110.7%1-27.6%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.3%2-19.0%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.6%3-15.1%3-23.6%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.1%4+-22.2%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 28.6% 3.50 +52.9%

Draw 22.9% 30.3% 3.30 -14.7%

Away win 33.4% 51.3% 1.95 -34.9%

Over 2.5 62.6% 57.8% 1.73 +8.3%

Over 3.5 39.2% 36.4% 2.75 +7.8%

BTTS 61.3% 62.5% 1.60 -1.9%

Home O1.5 48.8% 36.4% 2.75 +34.2%

Away O1.5 41.2% 54.6% 1.83 -24.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.3%

H 44% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 1–0✓ 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CFR 1907 Cluj1.7

FCSB1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CFR 1907 CLUJ · PPG 1.99

FCSB · PPG 1.60

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

CFR 1907 Cluj (H) 43.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +52.9%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -14.7%

FCSB (A) 33.4%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -34.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

CFR 1907 Cluj face FCSB in Romania - Liga I on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CFR 1907 Cluj a 44% chance, the draw 23% and FCSB 33%, so CFR 1907 Cluj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for CFR 1907 Cluj and 1.4 for FCSB (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CFR 1907 Cluj are averaging 1.99 points per game versus 1.60 for FCSB. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +40.6%. This match finished 1-0.

CFR 1907 Cluj vs FCSB Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Match Preview & Prediction

More Romania - Liga I Predictions