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Spain - La Liga Wednesday, April 22, 2026 17:00 
Elche PPG 1.75 
Atletico Madrid PPG 1.13
Spain - La Liga Wednesday, April 22, 2026 17:00 Elche PPG 1.753-2 MISS
Atletico Madrid PPG 1.13Away· +10.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 55.1% Odds: 1.67 -8.0%
Over 3.5 32.7% Odds: 2.70 -11.7%
BTTS 58.2% Odds: 1.57 -8.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-1 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Elche 1.38
Atletico Madrid 1.51
Model Suggestion
BTTS -8.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 70 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -19.9%
Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)