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Managua vs H&H Export Prediction— Nicaragua - Primera Division

Apertura · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 23:00

Managua

PPG 2.16 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

6 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

H&H Export

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-16.5%0-22.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.7%1-111.2%1-24.9%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.7%2-24.3%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.4%3-15.6%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-13.6%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% 61.0% 1.64 -12.1%

Draw 24.2% 27.0% 3.70 -6.3%

Away win 22.2% 21.7% 4.60 +1.3%

Over 2.5 53.3% 58.8% 1.70 -9.4%

Over 3.5 30.9% 36.4% 2.75 -15.0%

BTTS 53.0% 60.6% 1.65 -12.6%

Home O1.5 48.8% 60.6% 1.65 -19.5%

Away O1.5 22.8% 32.3% 3.10 -17.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.0%

H 54% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–0 12.7%

#3 2–0 11.0%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Managua1.7

H&H Export0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MANAGUA · PPG 2.16

H&H EXPORT · PPG 1.79

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Managua (H) 53.6%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -12.1%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.3%

H&H Export (A) 22.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +1.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Managua face H&H Export in Nicaragua - Primera Division on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Managua a 54% chance, the draw 24% and H&H Export 22%, so Managua are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Managua and 0.9 for H&H Export (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Managua are averaging 2.16 points per game versus 1.79 for H&H Export. This match finished 6-1.

Managua vs H&H Export Prediction— Nicaragua - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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