Today / Poland - II Liga - East / Warta Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw B

Warta Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Warta Poznan

PPG 2.31 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Slask Wroclaw B

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.1% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.2%0-24.1%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.3%1-110.8%1-27.1%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.4%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.2%3-15.4%3-23.6%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.5%4+-22.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.6% 62.5% 1.60 -23.8%

Draw 23.5% 27.8% 3.60 -15.4%

Away win 28.9% 22.2% 4.50 +30.0%

Over 2.5 58.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.3% — — —

BTTS 60.1% 59.9% 1.67 +0.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.1%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 8.3%

#4 2–0 7.2%

#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Warta Poznan1.7

Slask Wroclaw B1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WARTA POZNAN · PPG 2.31

SLASK WROCLAW B · PPG 2.00

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.31) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Warta Poznan (H) 47.6%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -23.8%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -15.4%

Slask Wroclaw B (A) 28.9%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +30.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Warta Poznan face Slask Wroclaw B in Poland - II Liga - East on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Warta Poznan a 48% chance, the draw 24% and Slask Wroclaw B 29%, so Warta Poznan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Warta Poznan and 1.3 for Slask Wroclaw B (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Warta Poznan are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 2.00 for Slask Wroclaw B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Warta Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - II Liga - East Predictions