Today / England - League One / Peterborough vs Mansfield Town

Peterborough vs Mansfield Town Prediction— England - League One

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Peterborough

PPG 1.37 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLD ·

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Mansfield Town

PPG 1.37 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-110.0%0-26.0%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.7%1-112.8%1-27.7%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.9%2-18.3%2-25.0%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.9%3-13.5%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% 37.3% 2.68 -3.8%

Draw 28.6% 27.8% 3.60 +1.8%

Away win 35.5% 41.7% 2.40 -14.8%

Over 2.5 46.9% 60.6% 1.65 -22.6%

Over 3.5 28.1% 38.5% 2.60 -16.2%

BTTS 49.1% 66.7% 1.50 -26.4%

Home O1.5 37.8% 46.5% 2.15 -18.7%

Away O1.5 37.1% 50.0% 2.00 -25.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -49.2%

Bet Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.1%

D 29% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 47% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.3%

#3 0–1 10.0%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Peterborough1.3

Mansfield Town1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PETERBOROUGH · PPG 1.37

MANSFIELD TOWN · PPG 1.37

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.08, combined xG 2.49 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Peterborough (H) 35.9%

ODDS 2.68 · IMPLIED 37.3% EV -3.8%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +1.8%

Mansfield Town (A) 35.5%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -14.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Peterborough face Mansfield Town in England - League One on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterborough a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Mansfield Town 36%, so Peterborough are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Peterborough and 1.2 for Mansfield Town (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterborough are averaging 1.37 points per game versus 1.37 for Mansfield Town. This match finished 2-1.

Peterborough vs Mansfield Town Prediction— England - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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