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Eskilstuna United W vs Växjö W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Eskilstuna United W

PPG 1.86 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Växjö W

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-18.2%0-23.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.0%1-112.1%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-19.0%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.5%3-14.4%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.5% 45.5% 2.20 +11.1%

Draw 25.3% 32.3% 3.10 -12.9%

Away win 24.2% 35.7% 2.80 -19.3%

Over 2.5 50.2% 57.8% 1.73 -13.2%

Over 3.5 28.4% 36.4% 2.75 -13.1%

BTTS 53.0% 62.5% 1.60 -15.2%

Home O1.5 40.0% 47.6% 2.10 -16.0%

Away O1.5 22.5% 44.4% 2.25 -29.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -18.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.0%

H 50% / xG 1.5-0.8 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.0%

#2 1–1 12.1%

#3 2–0 11.2%

#4 0–0 10.1%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eskilstuna United W1.5

Växjö W0.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ESKILSTUNA UNITED W · PPG 1.86

VÄXJÖ W · PPG 0.17

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Eskilstuna United W (H) 50.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +11.1%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -12.9%

Växjö W (A) 24.2%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -19.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eskilstuna United W face Växjö W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eskilstuna United W a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Växjö W 24%, so Eskilstuna United W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Eskilstuna United W and 0.8 for Växjö W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eskilstuna United W are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.17 for Växjö W. This match finished 0-1.

Eskilstuna United W vs Växjö W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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