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Friska Viljor vs Storfors Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Relegation Round ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

Friska Viljor

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWWL

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Storfors

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-12.4%0-21.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-04.9%1-16.5%1-24.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.6%2-18.7%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.9%3-17.8%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-110.0%4+-26.6%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.3% — — —

Draw 20.2% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 47.6% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.5%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 3–1 7.8%

#4 1–2 4.2%

#5 2–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Friska Viljor2.7

Storfors1.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FRISKA VILJOR · PPG 1.00

STORFORS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.37 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Friska Viljor (H) 56.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Storfors (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Friska Viljor face Storfors in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Friska Viljor a 56% chance, the draw 20% and Storfors 24%, so Friska Viljor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Friska Viljor and 1.3 for Storfors (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Friska Viljor are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Storfors. This match finished 2-0.

Friska Viljor vs Storfors Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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