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Leicester City U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21 Prediction— England - Premier League 2 Division One

Regular Season ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 18:00

Leicester City U21

PPG 1.43 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

UPCOMING

Blackburn Rovers U21

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.8% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.3%0-21.9%0-31.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-03.7%1-16.0%1-24.9%1-32.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-04.9%2-18.0%2-26.5%2-33.5%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.3%3-17.0%3-25.7%3-33.1%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-18.7%4+-27.1%4+-33.8%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% 64.5% 1.55 -13.4%

Draw 20.1% 22.7% 4.40 -6.9%

Away win 24.1% 23.1% 4.33 +2.6%

Over 2.5 71.8% 76.9% 1.30 -6.7%

Over 3.5 49.1% 55.6% 1.80 -11.6%

BTTS 69.0% 73.5% 1.36 -6.2%

Home O1.5 65.1% 75.2% 1.33 -13.4%

Away O1.5 48.5% 44.4% 2.25 +9.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob69.0%

H 56% / xG 2.6-1.6 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.0%

#3 3–1 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 1–2 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leicester City U212.6

Blackburn Rovers U211.6

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.8% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LEICESTER CITY U21 · PPG 1.43

BLACKBURN ROVERS U21 · PPG 0.98

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.02 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Leicester City U21 (H) 55.9%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -13.4%

Draw 20.1%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -6.9%

Blackburn Rovers U21 (A) 24.1%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Leicester City U21 face Blackburn Rovers U21 in England - Premier League 2 Division One on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leicester City U21 a 56% chance, the draw 20% and Blackburn Rovers U21 24%, so Leicester City U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Leicester City U21 and 1.6 for Blackburn Rovers U21 (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leicester City U21 are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.98 for Blackburn Rovers U21. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +12.5%.

Leicester City U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21 Prediction— England - Premier League 2 Division One

Match Preview & Prediction

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