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Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Matchday 6 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 17:30

Petrolul Ploiesti

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLW

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Rapid

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.7%0-114.6%0-26.4%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.3%1-113.4%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.0%2-16.1%2-22.7%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.9%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% 29.4% 3.40 +16.3%

Draw 32.0% 31.7% 3.15 +0.8%

Away win 33.8% 47.6% 2.10 -29.0%

Over 2.5 38.0% 46.5% 2.15 -18.3%

Over 3.5 18.4% 26.0% 3.85 -17.5%

BTTS 47.6% 54.6% 1.83 -12.9%

Home O1.5 30.6% 31.3% 3.20 -2.1%

Away O1.5 22.8% 44.4% 2.25 -29.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.6%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.7%

#2 0–1 14.6%

#3 1–0 15.3%

#4 1–1 13.4%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrolul Ploiesti0.9

Rapid0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PETROLUL PLOIESTI · PPG 1.75

RAPID · PPG 1.33

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.04, combined xG 1.79 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Petrolul Ploiesti (H) 34.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +16.3%

Draw 32.0%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +0.8%

Rapid (A) 33.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -29.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrolul Ploiesti face Rapid in Romania - Liga I on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrolul Ploiesti a 34% chance, the draw 32% and Rapid 34%, so Petrolul Ploiesti are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Petrolul Ploiesti and 0.9 for Rapid (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrolul Ploiesti are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.33 for Rapid. This match finished 0-2.

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Match Preview & Prediction

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