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NKP Podhale vs Sokol Kleczew Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

NKP Podhale

PPG 1.92 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Sokol Kleczew

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.3% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-17.1%0-23.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.2%1-111.7%1-25.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.6%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.5%3-15.2%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.1%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% 59.9% 1.67 -11.0%

Draw 24.6% 30.3% 3.30 -18.8%

Away win 22.0% 21.7% 4.60 +1.2%

Over 2.5 48.1% — — —

Over 3.5 26.3% — — —

BTTS 49.7% 57.8% 1.73 -14.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.7%

H 53% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 12.2%

#2 1–1 11.7%

#3 2–0 10.0%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NKP Podhale1.6

Sokol Kleczew1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.1% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NKP PODHALE · PPG 1.92

SOKOL KLECZEW · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

NKP Podhale (H) 53.3%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -11.0%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -18.8%

Sokol Kleczew (A) 22.0%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

NKP Podhale face Sokol Kleczew in Poland - II Liga - East on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NKP Podhale a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Sokol Kleczew 22%, so NKP Podhale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for NKP Podhale and 1.0 for Sokol Kleczew (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NKP Podhale are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.17 for Sokol Kleczew. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.2%. This match finished 4-0.

NKP Podhale vs Sokol Kleczew Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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