Today / Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd / Pipinsried vs S. Hauzenberg

Pipinsried vs S. Hauzenberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 21 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 16:00

Pipinsried logo
Pipinsried
PPG 1.54 · HOME
5 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
S. Hauzenberg logo
S. Hauzenberg
PPG 0.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.54), Away POOR (0.15) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-11.6%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.1%1-14.7%1-21.4%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.3%2-17.2%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.5%3-17.3%3-22.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-020.1%4+-111.8%4+-23.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 85.6%
Draw 10.0%
Away win 4.4%
Over 2.5 70.3%
Over 3.5 49.1%
BTTS 42.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5 62%
BTTS 73%
Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 76%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-0
xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob42.3%

H 86% / xG 3.0-0.6 / O2.5 70% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 12.5%
#2 2–0 12.3%
#3 4–0 9.5%
#4 1–0 8.1%
#5 3–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pipinsried3.0
S. Hauzenberg0.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.3% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PIPINSRIED · PPG 1.54

S. HAUZENBERG · PPG 0.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.54), Away POOR (0.15) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Pipinsried (H) 85.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 10.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
S. Hauzenberg (A) 4.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pipinsried face S. Hauzenberg in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pipinsried a 86% chance, the draw 10% and S. Hauzenberg 4%, so Pipinsried are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Pipinsried and 0.6 for S. Hauzenberg (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pipinsried are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 0.15 for S. Hauzenberg. This match finished 5-0.

PredictVantage

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