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Peterborough United U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 12:00

Peterborough United U21

PPG 1.61 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Queens Park Rangers U21

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDL ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.7% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.3%0-21.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-04.0%1-16.2%1-24.8%1-32.5%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.3%2-18.2%2-26.3%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.7%3-17.2%3-25.6%3-32.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-19.1%4+-27.0%4+-33.6%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.2% 50.0% 2.00 +12.4%

Draw 20.2% 22.2% 4.50 -5.5%

Away win 23.6% 37.7% 2.65 -22.5%

Over 2.5 71.7% 82.0% 1.22 -12.5%

Over 3.5 48.1% 60.6% 1.65 -20.6%

BTTS 63.7% 80.0% 1.25 -20.4%

Home O1.5 65.1% 69.4% 1.44 -6.3%

Away O1.5 48.5% 60.6% 1.65 -20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 21%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.7%

H 56% / xG 2.7-1.5 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 1–1 6.2%

#3 3–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.3%

#5 1–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Peterborough United U212.7

Queens Park Rangers U211.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.7% · O3.5 PROB 48.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PETERBOROUGH UNITED U21 · PPG 1.61

QUEENS PARK RANGERS U21 · PPG 1.27

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.10 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Peterborough United U21 (H) 56.2%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +12.4%

Draw 20.2%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -5.5%

Queens Park Rangers U21 (A) 23.6%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -22.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Peterborough United U21 face Queens Park Rangers U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterborough United U21 a 56% chance, the draw 20% and Queens Park Rangers U21 24%, so Peterborough United U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Peterborough United U21 and 1.5 for Queens Park Rangers U21 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterborough United U21 are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.27 for Queens Park Rangers U21. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +19.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Peterborough United U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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