Today / England - Professional Development League / Coventry City U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21

Coventry City U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 12:00

Coventry City U21

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Fleetwood Town U21

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWW ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.1%0-22.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.4%1-17.5%1-25.1%1-32.4%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.6%2-19.0%2-26.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.3%3-17.3%3-25.0%3-32.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-17.9%4+-25.4%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.5% 63.7% 1.57 -11.3%

Draw 21.9% 23.1% 4.33 -3.1%

Away win 21.5% 23.1% 4.33 -4.1%

Over 2.5 63.1% 76.9% 1.30 -18.0%

Over 3.5 43.2% 56.5% 1.77 -23.5%

BTTS 59.9% 75.2% 1.33 -20.3%

Home O1.5 65.8% 74.1% 1.35 -11.2%

Away O1.5 40.9% 45.5% 2.20 -10.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 21%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.9%

H 56% / xG 2.4-1.4 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 3–1 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.2%

#5 2–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Coventry City U212.4

Fleetwood Town U211.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

COVENTRY CITY U21 · PPG 1.27

FLEETWOOD TOWN U21 · PPG 0.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.05 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Coventry City U21 (H) 56.5%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -11.3%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -3.1%

Fleetwood Town U21 (A) 21.5%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -4.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Coventry City U21 face Fleetwood Town U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coventry City U21 a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Fleetwood Town U21 22%, so Coventry City U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Coventry City U21 and 1.4 for Fleetwood Town U21 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coventry City U21 are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 0.85 for Fleetwood Town U21. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +6.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Coventry City U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Professional Development League Predictions