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Sheffield Wednesday U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 11:00

Sheffield Wednesday U21

PPG 1.34 · HOME

LAST 5

DD ···

UPCOMING

Wigan Athletic U21

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLD ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.5%0-22.9%0-31.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.5%1-17.6%1-26.5%1-33.6%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.9%2-18.3%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.6%3-16.1%3-25.2%3-32.9%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-15.6%4+-24.7%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% 51.3% 1.95 -4.1%

Draw 21.4% 26.3% 3.80 -11.2%

Away win 29.4% 33.3% 3.00 -7.1%

Over 2.5 68.4% 76.9% 1.30 -11.1%

Over 3.5 45.0% 54.9% 1.82 -18.1%

BTTS 63.5% 73.5% 1.36 -13.6%

Home O1.5 65.8% 66.7% 1.50 -1.3%

Away O1.5 47.9% 53.8% 1.86 -10.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 21%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

H 49% / xG 2.2-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.3%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sheffield Wednesday U212.2

Wigan Athletic U211.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY U21 · PPG 1.34

WIGAN ATHLETIC U21 · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.50 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sheffield Wednesday U21 (H) 49.2%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -4.1%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -11.2%

Wigan Athletic U21 (A) 29.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -7.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield Wednesday U21 face Wigan Athletic U21 in England - Professional Development League on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield Wednesday U21 a 49% chance, the draw 21% and Wigan Athletic U21 29%, so Sheffield Wednesday U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sheffield Wednesday U21 and 1.7 for Wigan Athletic U21 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield Wednesday U21 are averaging 1.34 points per game versus 1.22 for Wigan Athletic U21. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +3.2%.

Sheffield Wednesday U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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