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Bristol City U21 vs Sheffield United U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 12:00

Bristol City U21

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

DDW ··

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sheffield United U21

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.6% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.6%0-23.9%0-32.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.3%1-18.8%1-27.4%1-34.2%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.0%2-18.5%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.2%3-15.4%3-24.5%3-32.5%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-14.0%4+-23.4%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.9% 35.7% 2.80 +17.3%

Draw 23.4% 25.0% 4.00 -3.8%

Away win 34.7% 50.0% 2.00 -30.6%

Over 2.5 61.6% 73.5% 1.36 -16.2%

Over 3.5 40.4% 51.3% 1.95 -21.2%

BTTS 61.5% 74.1% 1.35 -17.0%

Home O1.5 55.8% 52.6% 1.90 +6.0%

Away O1.5 47.9% 63.7% 1.57 -24.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 21%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.5%

H 42% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1✓ 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bristol City U211.9

Sheffield United U211.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BRISTOL CITY U21 · PPG 1.45

SHEFFIELD UNITED U21 · PPG 1.91

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bristol City U21 (H) 41.9%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +17.3%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -3.8%

Sheffield United U21 (A) 34.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -30.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bristol City U21 face Sheffield United U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bristol City U21 a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Sheffield United U21 35%, so Bristol City U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bristol City U21 and 1.7 for Sheffield United U21 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bristol City U21 are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.91 for Sheffield United U21. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +27.1%. This match finished 3-1.

Bristol City U21 vs Sheffield United U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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