Today / England - Professional Development League / Cardiff City U21 vs Sheffield Wednesday U21

Cardiff City U21 vs Sheffield Wednesday U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 18:00

Cardiff City U21

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LWD ··

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Sheffield Wednesday U21

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

LAST 5

DD ···

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.5%0-22.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.1%1-17.9%1-26.1%1-33.2%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.7%2-18.8%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.2%3-16.5%3-25.1%3-32.6%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-16.2%4+-24.8%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.7% 56.5% 1.77 -10.3%

Draw 21.9% 25.0% 4.00 -7.4%

Away win 27.4% 28.6% 3.50 -2.5%

Over 2.5 65.0% 74.1% 1.35 -12.3%

Over 3.5 44.9% 54.1% 1.85 -16.9%

BTTS 63.5% 75.2% 1.33 -15.5%

Home O1.5 66.3% 69.0% 1.45 -3.9%

Away O1.5 47.9% 48.8% 2.05 -1.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 21%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.5%

H 51% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 6.1%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cardiff City U212.2

Sheffield Wednesday U211.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CARDIFF CITY U21 · PPG 1.17

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY U21 · PPG 1.04

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cardiff City U21 (H) 50.7%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -10.3%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -7.4%

Sheffield Wednesday U21 (A) 27.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -2.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cardiff City U21 face Sheffield Wednesday U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cardiff City U21 a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Sheffield Wednesday U21 27%, so Cardiff City U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Cardiff City U21 and 1.6 for Sheffield Wednesday U21 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cardiff City U21 are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.04 for Sheffield Wednesday U21. This match finished 0-0.

Cardiff City U21 vs Sheffield Wednesday U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Professional Development League Predictions