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Charlton Athletic U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 12:00

Charlton Athletic U21

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LDD ··

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wigan Athletic U21

PPG 1.26 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLD ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.3%0-22.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.4%1-17.4%1-26.2%1-33.5%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.0%2-18.3%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.8%3-16.3%3-25.3%3-33.0%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-16.1%4+-25.1%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.1% 61.7% 1.62 -18.8%

Draw 21.2% 22.7% 4.40 -4.0%

Away win 28.8% 25.6% 3.90 +7.4%

Over 2.5 68.4% 82.0% 1.22 -16.6%

Over 3.5 45.0% 61.7% 1.62 -27.1%

BTTS 63.5% 80.0% 1.25 -20.6%

Home O1.5 66.3% 76.9% 1.30 -13.8%

Away O1.5 47.9% 51.8% 1.93 -7.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 21%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

H 50% / xG 2.3-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.3%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 2–2✓ 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.2%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Charlton Athletic U212.3

Wigan Athletic U211.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CHARLTON ATHLETIC U21 · PPG 1.33

WIGAN ATHLETIC U21 · PPG 1.26

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Charlton Athletic U21 (H) 50.1%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -18.8%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -4.0%

Wigan Athletic U21 (A) 28.8%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Charlton Athletic U21 face Wigan Athletic U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charlton Athletic U21 a 50% chance, the draw 21% and Wigan Athletic U21 29%, so Charlton Athletic U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Charlton Athletic U21 and 1.7 for Wigan Athletic U21 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charlton Athletic U21 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.26 for Wigan Athletic U21. The best value bet our model finds is RES_A/O15, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 2-2.

Charlton Athletic U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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