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Fleetwood Town U21 vs Millwall U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 12:00

Fleetwood Town U21

PPG 1.06 · HOME

LAST 5

LWW ··

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Millwall U21

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

LL ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.0% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.3%0-23.8%0-32.3%0-4+1.5%1 1-04.7%1-18.3%1-27.4%1-34.4%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.5%2-18.1%2-27.2%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.9%3-15.3%3-24.7%3-32.8%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-14.0%4+-23.6%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.4% 46.5% 2.15 -8.8%

Draw 22.9% 25.0% 4.00 -5.0%

Away win 34.7% 38.5% 2.60 -9.8%

Over 2.5 65.0% 76.9% 1.30 -15.5%

Over 3.5 44.9% 55.6% 1.80 -19.2%

BTTS 63.5% 76.9% 1.30 -17.4%

Home O1.5 55.8% 63.7% 1.57 -12.4%

Away O1.5 47.9% 57.8% 1.73 -17.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 21%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.5%

H 42% / xG 1.9-1.8 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1 8.1%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fleetwood Town U211.9

Millwall U211.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FLEETWOOD TOWN U21 · PPG 1.06

MILLWALL U21 · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.16 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fleetwood Town U21 (H) 42.4%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -8.8%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -5.0%

Millwall U21 (A) 34.7%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fleetwood Town U21 face Millwall U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fleetwood Town U21 a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Millwall U21 35%, so Fleetwood Town U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Fleetwood Town U21 and 1.8 for Millwall U21 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fleetwood Town U21 are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.27 for Millwall U21. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Fleetwood Town U21 vs Millwall U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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