Today / Brazil - Paulista - U20 / Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20

Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 18:00

Gremio Prudente U20 logo
Gremio Prudente U20
PPG 0.80 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
RB Bragantino U20 logo
RB Bragantino U20
PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.79 for Away, form 0.80 vs 3.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-15.4%0-29.4%0-310.9%0-4+23.1%1 1-01.1%1-13.7%1-26.4%1-37.5%1-4+15.9%2 2-00.4%2-11.3%2-22.2%2-32.6%2-4+5.4%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.5%3-30.6%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 12.7%
Draw 16.1%
Away win 71.2%
Over 2.5 68.7%
Over 3.5 47.2%
BTTS 53.1%
Home O1.5 30.2%
Away O1.5 86.7%

League track record

Based on 94 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 54%
ROI -36.4%
Bet Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 60%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)3.5 BTTS prob53.1%

A 71% / xG 0.7-3.5 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 10.9%
#2 0–4 9.5%
#3 0–2 9.4%
#4 1–3 7.5%
#5 0–5 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gremio Prudente U200.7
RB Bragantino U203.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.7% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GREMIO PRUDENTE U20 · PPG 0.80

RB BRAGANTINO U20 · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.79 for Away, form 0.80 vs 3.00

Win probability 1X2

Gremio Prudente U20 (H) 12.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
RB Bragantino U20 (A) 71.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gremio Prudente U20 face RB Bragantino U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gremio Prudente U20 a 13% chance, the draw 16% and RB Bragantino U20 71%, so RB Bragantino U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Gremio Prudente U20 and 3.5 for RB Bragantino U20 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gremio Prudente U20 are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 3.00 for RB Bragantino U20.

PredictVantage

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