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América Mineiro U20 vs Betim U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Winners Stage · Matchday 5 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 18:00

América Mineiro U20

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Betim U20

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.07 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.86 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.7%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.4%1-15.3%1-22.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.2%2-18.1%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.4%3-18.2%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-013.6%4+-113.4%4+-26.6%4+-32.2%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.9% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 15.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 46.3% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 27.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob60.3%

H 68% / xG 3.1-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.4%

#2 2–0 8.2%

#3 3–1 8.2%

#4 2–1 8.1%

#5 4–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

América Mineiro U203.1

Betim U201.0

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 46.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AMÉRICA MINEIRO U20 · PPG 2.14

BETIM U20 · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.07 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.86 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

América Mineiro U20 (H) 67.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Betim U20 (A) 15.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

América Mineiro U20 face Betim U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives América Mineiro U20 a 68% chance, the draw 17% and Betim U20 15%, so América Mineiro U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for América Mineiro U20 and 1.0 for Betim U20 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, América Mineiro U20 are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.86 for Betim U20.

América Mineiro U20 vs Betim U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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