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Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Cruzeiro U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Winners Stage · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:00

Nacional de Muriae U20

PPG 1.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cruzeiro U20

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.50 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-17.5%0-24.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.0%1-111.9%1-26.4%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.4%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.6%3-15.0%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.7% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 24.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 34.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.5%

H 51% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 11.0%

#4 2–0 8.7%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nacional de Muriae U201.6

Cruzeiro U201.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NACIONAL DE MURIAE U20 · PPG 1.57

CRUZEIRO U20 · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.50 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Nacional de Muriae U20 (H) 50.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cruzeiro U20 (A) 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nacional de Muriae U20 face Cruzeiro U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nacional de Muriae U20 a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Cruzeiro U20 24%, so Nacional de Muriae U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Nacional de Muriae U20 and 1.1 for Cruzeiro U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nacional de Muriae U20 are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.67 for Cruzeiro U20.

Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Cruzeiro U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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